Monday, August 15, 2016

This Election Cycle, McMillan and Johnson Might hurt Hillary in Utah

   A common argument is that Libertarian Gary Johnson and independent Evan McMullin are only going to take votes from Trump and end up tossing the election to Hillary.
  As far as Utah goes, though, that might be a flawed argument. What it comes down to, is are there more people who will vote for anyone but Hillary, or more who will vote for anyone but Trump? And, how many will never vote for either.
  In Utah, we are not allowed to just write in a candidate. We can only vote for those on the ballot and those registered to be write-in candidates. I won't vote for Trump, but if Hillary is the best on the ballot, I might vote for her.
   So, when Evan McMullin came along, it greatly reduced the chance that I will vote for Hillary. Though I am historically more inclined to vote for Republicans for president, that is not the case this election cycle.
  I am not so sure but what there are a fair share of Republicans and independents who feel the same as I. They will consider Hillary if she is the best the ballot has to offer, but they will not consider Trump.
   As far as all these votes go, though they tend to vote Republican, theirs are votes being taken more from Hillary than from Trump. It would be good to see a survey on this, to determine whether Johnson and McMullin are more likely to take votes from Hillary than from Trump.

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